Supporters of Newcastle United are more and more viewing Eddie Howe's squad as an inconsistent ally. On their day, they can be the undisputed life of the party, unleashing high-intensity performances. But, in other matches, once-dependable players like their midfield linchpin and others simply fail to appear.
Exacerbating the frustration is a second-half approach laced with a worrying element of disorganization. Before their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the facts paint a sobering tale: the team has dropped 13 precious top-flight points from winning positions this season and are yet to keep a clean sheet in 10 consecutive outings across all competitions. Earning a win at their famous stadium would be only their second-ever league triumph on the road this season.
In contrast, defeat has only come on one occasion in their last 6 Premier League encounters, and although occupying a modest eleventh position, they remain a only six points behind the coveted Champions League places. Consider an upcoming two-legged Carabao Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a decent chance of advancing to the European Cup knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to appreciate the manager's cautious optimism.
“It's not only about difficulties,” remarked the club's manager. “There are strengths too. My glass is decidedly optimistic currently. I know others could have a opposing take, but my belief is we are making progress.”
The challenge remains: will this collection of players recapture – or perhaps eclipse – the heights of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place standing? Balancing a packed fixture list hinders.
This tiredness might account for the failure to maintain a stellar first-half showing against Chelsea, eventually letting slip a two-goal advantage to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the explanation for a poor performance in a painful loss to local rivals Sunderland, where the team looked sluggish just a short time after a demanding European excursion.
Although coaching is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless grind of twice-weekly matches has radically limited valuable practice time. This hinders the squad's tactical adjustment to operating with new striker Nick Woltemade up front, instead of the now departed their former star. Although extremely skilled, the German forward does not possess the equivalent electric counter-attacking speed or intense pressing.
In fact, the team's previously effective pressing game has occasionally broken down. Injuries to crucial component the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while expensive arrivals the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have found it tough adapting after their combined £90m+ transfers.
While a switch to a back three might theoretically benefit the cause, a full-blown backline injury list makes that unlikely. Key defenders will be unavailable for the next key matches, straining the squad's depth.
When playing at their high-tempo peak, they appear almost unplayable. The catch is sustaining that intensity for the entire 90 minutes. The typical alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive formation has sometimes proven counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match became chaotic at 2-2,” said the manager. “But we were trying to win. Our mentality is to always try to secure the three points.”
What appears called for is a balanced approach – one featuring superior ball control, a midfield adept of dictating the pace, and a realistic readiness to sometimes accept a point. Yet, a determination to challenge on every fronts is testing finite player numbers to their breaking point.
This might seem heretical to some, but a different approach in the domestic cups in the initial stages could have alleviated the current schedule pile-up. With critical Champions League and Premier League games on the agenda, the necessity to carefully choose focus areas is becoming ever more obvious.
Eddie Howe recognized the size of the journey remaining. “When you're at a club of this size, the demands are big. Each game is critical. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We're in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have a great deal of improvement to do to transform into the consistently winning side we envision. Our capacity to put sequences of victories has eluded us this season.
“The objective is to reach those heights we are aware we're capable of. I believe that the confidence we can do that is returning. But nowadays we have to prove it. It's not all bad right now, but the next few weeks will decide a great deal.”